Em relação às distribuições de probabilidade discretas:

Item 3 - Se uma variável aleatória segue uma distribuição Hipergeométrica, sua distribuição será próxima da Binomial se o tamanho da população for grande em relação ao tamanho da amostra extraida .

Com relação à Teoria do Equilíbrio Geral e do Bem Estar, é correto afirmar que:

Item 2 - Se uma alocação A é Pareto eficiente enquanto uma alocação B não o é, então a alocação A é socialmente preferível à alocação B.

Assinale C (certo) ou E (errado):

Item 4 - Se !$ f !$ é a função definida no item anterior, então:

BASED ON YOUR INTERPRETATION OF THE TEXT THAT FOLLOWS, DETERMINE IF EVERY STATEMENT IS RIGHT OR WRONG.

THIRD TEXT

As dramatic as it was, the global financial crises of 1997-99 was only the most recent of a rash of crises that have devastated market economies over the last 25 years. By one calculation almost 100 countries experienced a severe currency or financial crisis during that period, with adverse consequences for their national budgets and economic growth. Such patterns clearly call for an explanation: although there has been no dearth of suggestions, a consensus is growing that at least part of the explanation lies in weak financial institutions, which result in part from inadequate government regulation. The pendulum has come full circle: from the burst of enthusiasm over deregulation, policymakers now appreciate why it is that the most successful economies have long had a strong tradition of financial regulation. In the Unites States financial regulation dates back to 1863, in the middle of the American Civil War, when it became apparent that a strong banking system was essential to create a new national economy and that such a system required a strong national regulatory structure. The most recent major lapse in regulation, the deregulation effort that began in 1981, led to the savings and loan debacle. The consequences of that crisis were so severe that the U.S. economy did not recover for close to a decade.

But many developing countries are struggling with precisely the opposite problem – an overregulated financial system that stifles innovation and the flow of credit to new entrepreneurs, stunting the growth of even well-established firms. One of the many adverse effects of the East Asian financial crisis is that countries have become wary of reforms that affect the financial sector, aware that they may leave the country worse off. This article argues that reforms are possible – and indeed needed – and can be undertaken without undue fear, but success requires understanding the basic principles of financial sector regulation. The article sets forth those principles.

Even before the crisis, a theoretical literature argued that the nature of financial market failures necessitated a strong role for government. Failures in the banking system have strong spillovers, or externalities, that reach well beyond the individuals and firms directly involved. To avoid a financial collapse, governments typically bail out the affected entity, whether or not formal deposit insurance is in place; this intervention itself gives rise to problems of moral hazard. Although the absence of formal deposit insurance might give depositors a slightly increased incentive to monitor financial institutions (because there is some uncertainty about whether they will actually be bailed out), individual monitoring is actually inefficient. Monitoring is a public good, and it needs to be publicly provided. Of course, at a more practical level, a small depositor cannot be expected to examine the books of a bank on a weekly basis; there is strong evidence that regulators and rating agencies have difficulties doing so. Indeed, the widespread misconceptions about the appropriate strategy for regulating the financial sector suggests that even so-called experts are not fully aware of some of the key issues. Why, then, should one expect more from an individual depositor with little training, interest, or capacity in the arcane details of financial accounting?

Despite its long history, financial market regulation is poorly understood, as evidenced by the disasters associate with deregulation in industrial and developing countries. Often such measures were pushed through a burst of enthusiasm for free markets without recognizing the inherent market failures associate with such markets. Today few economists advocate unregulated banking, but a similar ideological agenda has pushed excessive reliance on a single regulatory instrument – capital adequacy standards. The belief is that this measure entails the minimal interference with the workings of the market and avoids the well-recognized problems of unregulated banks. A deeper analysis of the financial sector, however, shows that such reliance is not only inefficient but may even be counterproductive under some circumstances.

Principles of Financial Regulation: A Dynamic Portfolio Approach. Joseph E. Stiglitz. The World Bank

Research Observer, vol. 16, nº 1, Spring 2001.

According to the text:

Item 4 - The American economy quickly recovered from the crisis that sprung from the debacle of its savings and loan institutions.

A experiência brasileira, desde os choques do petróleo e dos juros da década de 1970, põe em evidência as dificuldades de se compatibilizar políticas de estabilização com políticas de ajuste de balanço de pagamentos (com ou sem absorção de recursos externos). Assim, é correto afirmar que:

Item 1 - As políticas de estabilização dos anos 1980 (ortodoxas ou heterodoxas) foram de pouco fôlego e todas tiveram algo em comum: a saída do plano foi sempre acompanhada de ameaça de crise cambial e pressão dos setores exportadores por desvalorizações fortes.

Considere um duopólio em que a demanda inversa de mercado é dada por p = a - bq. O custo fixo das duas empresas é zero, de modo que o custo médio e o custo marginal são constantes e iguais a c.

Item 1 - No equilíbrio de Bertrand o preço de mercado é dado por !$ { \large c \over 2b} !$.

Sobre o mercado de trabalho e a Curva de Phillips, pode-se afirmar que:

Item 0 - O aumento da taxa de rotatividade no emprego tende a elevar a taxa natural de desemprego.

Considere as seguintes equações do modelo estrutural:

Equação de Demanda: !$ Q_t = \alpha_0 + \alpha_1 P_t + \alpha_2R_t + u_{1t} !$

Equação de oferta: !$ Q_t = \beta_0 + \beta_1P_t + \beta_2P_{t-1} + u_{1t} !$

em que no período t, Q_t é a quantidade de produto; P_t , o preço (endógeno) do produto; R_t , a renda do consumidor; u_it , o distúrbio aleatório da equação de demanda e u_2t , o distúrbio aleatório da equação de oferta. A partir destas equações são obtidas as equações na forma reduzida:

!$ P_t = \pi_0 + \pi_1R_t + \pi_2P_{t-1} + v_{1t} !$ e !$ Q_t = \pi_3 - \pi_4 R_t + \pi_5P_{t-1} + w_t !$.

Item 3 - O método de mínimos quadrados ordinários produz estimadores consistentes e eficientes dos parâmetros da forma estrutural.

BASED ON YOUR INTERPRETATION OF THE TEXT THAT FOLLOWS, DETERMINE IF EVERY STATEMENT IS RIGHT OR WRONG.

FIRST TEXT

At length, in 1776, our illustrious countryman, Adam Smith, published the “Wealth of Nations” – a work which has done for Political Economy what the Essay of Locke did for the philosophy of mind. In this work, the science was, for the first time, treated in its fullest extent; and the fundamental principles on which the production of wealth depends, established beyond the reach of cavil and dispute. In opposition to the Economists, Dr. Smith has shown that labor is the only source of wealth, and that the wish to augment our fortunes and to rise in the world – a wish that comes with us from the womb, and never leaves us till we go into the grave – is the cause of wealth being saved and accumulated: he has shown that labor is productive of wealth when employed in manufactures and commerce, as well as when it is employed in the cultivation of the land; he has traced the various means by which labor may be rendered most effective; and has given a most admirable analysis and exposition of the prodigious addition made to its powers by its division among different individuals and countries, and by the employment of accumulated wealth, or capital, in industrious undertakings. He has also shown, in opposition to the commonly received opinions of the merchants, politicians, and statesmen of his time, that wealth does not consist in the abundance of gold and silver, but enjoyments of human life; that it is in every case sound policy to leave individuals to pursue their own interest in their own way; that in prosecuting branches of industry advantageous to themselves, they necessarily prosecute such as are, at the same time, advantageous to the public; and that every regulation intended to force industry into particular channels, or to determine the species of commercial intercourse to be carried on between countries, is impolitic and pernicious – injurious to the rights of individuals – and adverse to the progress of real opulence and lasting prosperity.

J. R. McCulloch, on Adam Smith and Laissez-Faire from The Principles of Political Economy, 1830. Reprinted

in: Charles Dickens, Hard Times. W.W. Norton & Co, 1990: 318-319.

According to the text:

Item 0 - Agriculture is the sole source of wealth.

Com relação à teoria dos custos, é correto afirmar que:

Item 0 - A estrutura de custos de uma empresa não se altera quando o valor dos aluguéis aumenta, caso a firma tenha sua fábrica em terreno próprio.